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Bitcoin Closes CME Gap as CPI Worries Weigh on Risk Assets

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Bitcoin’s price has experienced a significant decline, falling back to nearly $106,000, while gold struggles to find support after big daily losses. This downturn has led to concerns about the potential for further losses, with some market commentators warning of a retest of $100,000 or even below.

Bitcoin and Gold Price Action

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked volatile BTC price action after rising to $106,100 earlier in the day. Attempts to break above resistance failed, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) still declining at the time of writing has compounded Bitcoin bulls’ woes.

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BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Meanwhile, gold prices were in danger of losing the $4,000 support, continuing their rapid decline from their all-time highs. Crypto trader Roman noted on X that the recent pump was likely due to gold dumping, and Binance is having a hard time selling anything.

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XAU/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

CME Gap Closure and Price Action

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass showed that bid liquidity increased below $107,000, with the price rising just above the price. Trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that the price had closed its latest weekend “gap” in the CME Group Bitcoin futures market.

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Heatmap of BTC liquidation. Source: CoinGlass

Daan Crypto Trades added that the price action is all over the place, with a decent short-term bounce after the CME gap closure. However, the price action remains choppy, illiquid, and volatile.

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BTC/USDT four-hour perpetual contract chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Upcoming Consumer Price Index Release

Risk assets remain broadly under pressure ahead of the release of the first major U.S. macroeconomic data since the government shutdown began. Friday’s September consumer price index (CPI) release will provide the Federal Reserve’s sole reference point for future interest rate adjustments.

Trading firm QCP Capital noted in its latest “Asia Color” market update that a weaker CPI print would re-anchor soft landing trades and reinforce BTC’s uptrend as liquidity expectations improve.

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US CPI 12-month change in %. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

QCP predicted that any weakening in DXY would encourage a “buy the dip” mentality among Bitcoin investors. For more information on Bitcoin’s price action and the upcoming CPI release, visit Cointelegraph.

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