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Bitcoin miners find a new ally for AI transformation in Google

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Google, the search engine giant, has emerged as a key player in the transformation of Bitcoin miners, providing significant financial backing for their shift towards artificial intelligence (AI). Instead of acquiring mining companies outright, Google has committed at least $5 billion in disclosed loans to support the AI projects of several prominent BTC miners. This strategic move has enabled these miners to transition from being viewed as pure commodity producers to being treated as infrastructure sponsors by lenders.

Google’s Role in the Transformation

Google’s support for Bitcoin miners’ AI projects involves a complex structure, often referred to as technology partnerships, but essentially functions as credit engineering. The mechanism behind these deals is relatively straightforward: BTC miners provide energized land, high-voltage connections, and unfinished buildings, while Fluidstack, a data center operator, signs multi-year colocation leases with these companies for the “critical IT load,” powering the AI servers. Google then stands behind Fluidstack’s leasing commitments, giving risk-averse commercial banks the confidence to underwrite the projects as infrastructure debt rather than speculative crypto financing.

This approach has been exemplified in several deals, including TeraWulf’s expansion at its Lake Mariner campus in New York, where Google increased its backstop to $3.2 billion and its warrant stake to about 14%. Similarly, in Cipher Mining’s AI pivot, Google agreed to secure $1.4 billion of the lease obligations, receiving warrants that could be converted into an approximately 5.4 percent equity stake in Cipher. These moves demonstrate Google’s significant involvement in the transformation of the mining industry towards AI.

Benefits and Risks of AI Leasing

The shift towards AI leasing offers several benefits for Bitcoin miners, including more stable revenue streams and improved standing with financial institutions. According to CoinShares data, the average cash cost of producing 1 BTC for listed miners is about $74,600, with total costs including non-cash items such as depreciation being closer to $137,800. With BTC trading at around $90,000, margins for pure-play miners remain low, prompting boards to seek more stable revenue streams. AI and high-performance computing contracts, which can provide recurring revenue over 10 or 15 years, offer a more attractive option.

However, this transition also involves significant operational risks, including the need for miners to overhaul their operational culture and physical infrastructure to meet the strict environmental controls and service level agreements required by AI customers. The concentration of counterparties, with Fluidstack acting as an intermediary and Google providing the backstop, also creates a single point of failure. If the AI hype cycle cools or tenants force lease renegotiations, this chain could lead to significant financial consequences for the miners involved.

Implications and Risks

The broader implications of these deals extend beyond project financing to competition policy and Bitcoin’s long-term security budget. Google’s use of loan protection rather than outright acquisitions allows it to pool access to energy-rich land and electricity without triggering merger reviews. However, this approach may raise concerns about the creation of a “virtual utility,” where Google controls access to large-scale computing networks without owning the underlying infrastructure.

For Bitcoin, the diversion of megawatts from mining to AI reduces the pool of electricity available to secure the network, potentially limiting the growth of computing power and increasing the cost of block production. As the most efficient operators convert their best sites into AI contracts, a larger share of block production may go to stranded or substandard power assets, affecting the network’s overall security and resilience.

Source: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-miners-find-new-ally-in-google-for-ai-transformation/

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