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HSBC claims a quantum break, should crypto owners be alerted?

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HSBC Achieves Quantum Computing Breakthrough in Trade Application

The Hong Kong-Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC), a global banking giant, has announced a significant milestone in the field of quantum computing. On Thursday, the company revealed the successful test of quantum computing in a trade application, marking a major breakthrough in the use of quantum technology in financial services. Researchers from HSBC utilized a quantum computer processor as part of their algorithmic trading process, which involves using predefined rules to execute transactions and determine the likelihood of over-the-counter (OTC) bond trades being filled at the desired price.

According to HSBC, the use of quantum processing resulted in improved predictions of bond prices and the likelihood of filling orders without slippage, ultimately enhancing the overall trading process. Philip Intallura, group leader of HSBC Quantum Technologies, expressed confidence in the potential of quantum computing to revolutionize the financial services industry, stating that the company is “very confident that we will be in financial services shortly before a new border of the computer, instead of something that will be far away in the future.”

Implications for Cryptocurrencies and Quantum-Resistant Cryptography

The emergence of quantum computing poses a significant threat to cryptocurrencies, which rely on encryption standards that could potentially be cracked by a sufficiently powerful quantum computer. This has sparked a debate among blockchain developers regarding the timeline of the threat and the need to migrate to quantum-resistant cryptography. The proportion of Bitcoin supply susceptible to quantum attacks is a pressing concern, with some estimates suggesting that a significant portion of the cryptocurrency’s supply could be vulnerable to quantum attacks.

HSBC, Quantum ComputingThe proportion of Bitcoin supply susceptible to quantum attacks. Source: cointelegraph

Divided Opinions Among Blockchain Developers

Blockchain developers remain divided on the threat posed by quantum computers, with some predicting that “Q-Day” – the moment when a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could crack modern encryption algorithms – could occur as early as five years from now. Others, such as Bitcoin developer Adam Back, believe that the quantum threat may be decades away, if it materializes at all. In November 2024, researchers at Shanghai University sparked fears within the crypto community by demonstrating the ability of quantum computers to break modern encryption algorithms in a series of tests.

However, a closer examination of the experiment revealed that the quantum computer was only able to break a 22-bit key, which is significantly weaker than the 892-bit data set that can be cracked by a classical computer. For context, modern encryption keys used in RSA encryption typically range from 2,048 bits to 4,096 bits and can be doubled regularly to stay ahead of quantum processing power. As the crypto community continues to grapple with the implications of quantum computing, it is clear that the development of quantum-resistant cryptography will be essential to ensuring the long-term security of cryptocurrencies.

For more information on the intersection of quantum computing and cryptocurrencies, read the full article on Cointelegraph.

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