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Solana price prediction remains stuck in a tight range as bears defend key moving averages

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Solana Price Prediction: A Delicate Balance

The Solana price prediction is currently in a state of flux, with the cryptocurrency trading in a tight range below its short- and medium-term moving averages. This consolidation phase is characterized by fading bearish momentum, with dense sell walls above and clustered bids below, setting the stage for the next significant move. According to technical analysis, the prevailing trend remains bearish, despite the slowdown in the downtrend.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains negative, confirming the broader downtrend, although the momentum profile shows sellers losing intensity. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has held in the lower middle range, suggesting that the market is not experiencing a panic-induced sell-off. These indicators reflect easing selling pressure rather than a trend reversal, leaving room for a potential short-term recovery attempt or a sideways consolidation.

Technical Analysis and Market Structure

Solana (SOL) is currently trading at around 132-133 USDT, down around 1-1.5% over the last 24 hours against TradingView’s SOLUSDT composite. The altcoin has been trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages, reflecting ongoing bearish pressure. However, recent candlestick patterns suggest that the bearish momentum has slowed, and the distance between the current price and these averages has narrowed, indicating that bearish control may be weakening.

Solana price prediction stalls in a tight range as bears defend key moving averages – 1

Technical analysts note that this type of structure often precedes either a sideways consolidation or a short-term recovery attempt, depending on price reaction to nearby resistance levels. The first resistance area is near a short-term ceiling that has recently acted as resistance, and a move above this level would indicate improving buyer confidence.

Order Book Data and Support Levels

Order book data shows large bid barriers below the current price, indicating significant buying interest concentrated in lower areas that could act as support if the price declines. However, the absorption of these supply barriers could lead to a sharp decline due to the sudden loss of concentrated demand. Significant ask thresholds in higher areas show that sellers are actively defending elevated prices.

A nearby support level is currently maintaining the consolidation, and a decisive daily close below this level would likely shift focus to the lower support zones. A break of these levels would indicate that bearish momentum is reasserting itself. According to technical analysts, the current market structure favors disciplined risk management as Solana is in transition rather than a strong trend.

Year-to-Date Performance and Market Capitalization

Despite the decline in 2025, SOL remains a best-in-class asset by market capitalization, with a value of around $70-80 billion. A Solana index proxy shows a current year return of around −35 to −40% in 2025, after an extreme uptrend in 2023 (+880%) and strong gains in 2024 (+98%). Therefore, structurally, 2025 is a year of mean reversion/consolidation.

For more information on the Solana price prediction and its market analysis, visit https://crypto.news/solana-price-prediction-stalls-in-tight-range-as-bears-defend-key-moving-averages/

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