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XRP is at risk of another 55% decline if Bitcoin continues to sell off

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XRP Price Plummets: How Low Can It Go After Falling Under $2?

XRP (XRP) has continued its downward trend, falling 3% to $1.93 in the last 24 hours. The inability to hold above $2 has raised concerns about the altcoin’s recovery possibilities, leaving traders wondering how far it can fall. The XRP/USD pair has formed a megaphone pattern on the weekly time frame, suggesting a deeper correction.

019aa80d e165 7d9a 95d7 9727b3cf8553XRP/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The Classic XRP Pattern Targets $0.88

A megaphone pattern, also known as a widening wedge, occurs when price creates a series of higher highs and lower lows. As a technical rule, a breakout below the lower boundary of the pattern can trigger a sharp decline. In the case of XRP, the pattern will be confirmed once the price breaks above the lower trendline around $1.80. The measured target for this pattern is $0.88, or a 54% increase from current levels.

019aa80d ea29 7a09 93a6 53c9e9e87cc7XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The key levels to watch before reaching this target are the 100-week SMA (Simple Moving Average) at $1.60 and the 200-week SMA at $1.05. The weekly RSI fell to 39 on Friday, below the extremely overbought level of 91 in December 2024, indicating steadily increasing bearish momentum over this period.

XRP’s Net Unrealized Gain/Loss (NUPL) and Its Impact on Price

Meanwhile, XRP’s Net Unrealized Gain/Loss (NUPL) has gone from euphoria to denial, and now fear is spreading. With more than 41.5% of XRP holders underwater at current prices, there is a likelihood of increased selling pressure as investors factor in their losses. Such setups in 2018 and 2021 preceded sharp corrections, raising the possibility of similar pullbacks in the coming weeks.

019aa80d f2d1 7b8d 93f2 e045742012f3XRP’s NUPL vs price performance chart. Source: Glassnode

XRP Realized Losses Rise to a Seven-Month High

According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, XRP fell to an intraday low of $1.81, a level last seen in April. Increasing selling pressure has caused many investors to sell at a loss, reminiscent of major historical market crashes. According to blockchain data platform Glassnode, realized losses on XRP have risen to levels not seen since April.

019aa80d fb4c 7f0d 89b8 4e9ea6134e2fXRP realized loss. Source: Glassnode

As Cointelegraph reported, a lack of on-chain demand and continued profit-taking by whales could increase XRP’s sell-off risks. For more information, visit https://cointelegraph.com/news/how-low-can-xrp-price-go-after-falling-under-dollar2?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss_category_market-analysis&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound

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